Fall Semester 2001

**Objectives**:

- Recognize the broad applicability of statistics to engineering.
- Learn methods of descriptive statistics.
- Learn the probability concepts underlying inferential statistics.
- Learn methods of inferential statistics.
- Learn methods of building statistical models.

**Materials**:

Text:

- Mendenhall,
William, and Terry
Sincich. 1995.
*Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences*, 4^{th}edition. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Incorporated.

Recommended accompanying study guides:

- Boudreau, Nancy S. 1995.
*Student's Solutions Manual*(to accompany William Mendenhall and Terry Sincich's*Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences*), 4^{th}edition. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Incorporated. - Ryan, Barbara, and Brian L. Joiner. 2001.
*Minitab Handbook*, 4^{th}edition. Pacific Grove, California: Brooks/Cole.

Textbooks may be purchased at the campus bookstore in the traditional way, reserved on-line for in-store pickup, or ordered on-line for delivery to an address you specify. More details at bookstore site.

Recommended references:

- Ayyub, Bilal,
and Richard H.
McCuen. 1997.
*Probability, Statistics, & Reliability for Engineers*. Boca Raton, Florida: CRC Press. - Devore, Jay L. 2000.
*Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences*, 5^{th}edition. Pacific Grove, California: Brooks/Cole. - Ghahramani, Saeed.
1996.
*Fundamentals of Probability*. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Incorporated. - Hayter,
Anthony J. 1996.
*Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists*. Boston, Massachusetts: PWS Publishing Company. - Hines, William W., and Douglas C.
Montgomery. 1980.
*Probability and Statistics in Engineering and Management Science*, 2^{nd}edition. New York, New York: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated. - Hooke, Robert. 1983.
*How to Tell the Liars from the Statisticians*. New York, New York: Marcel Dekker, Incorporated. - Huff, Darrell. 1954.
*How to Lie with Statistics*. New York, New York: W. W. Norton & Company. - Mendenhall,
William, Robert J.
Beaver, and Barbara M.
Beaver. 1999.
*Introduction to Probability and Statistics*, 10^{th}edition. Pacific Grove, California: Brooks/Cole Publishing Company. - Wadsworth, Harrison M., Jr., editor. 1990.
*Handbook of Statistical Methods for Engineers and Scientists*. New York, New York: McGraw-Hill, Incorporated. - Kenett, Ron S., and Shelemyahu Zacks.
1998.
*Modern Industrial Statistics: Design and Control of Quality and Reliability*. Pacific Grove, California: Brooks/Cole Publishing Company.

**Course Outline**:

Introduction | 1 |

Descriptive statistics | 2 |

Probabilistic concepts | 3 |

Discrete random variables | 4 |

Continuous random variables | 5 |

Bivariate probability distributions | 6 |

Sampling distributions | 7 |

Estimation of parameters | 8 |

Hypothesis testing | 9 |

Analysis of categorical data (chi-square) | 10 |

Regression: | |

one independent variable | 11 |

two or more independent variables | 12 |

introduction to model building | 13 |

__Administration__:

- Homework problems 15%
- Examination 1 (16 October 2001) 25% Review checklist Answer guide
- Examination 2 (20 November 2001) 25% Review checklist Answer guide
- Final examination (18 December 2001) 35% Review checklist

Statement from the Office of the Provost on academic ethics.

Specifically, the class runs under the honor code governing all College of Engineering classes. Each examination will have a closed-book portion followed by an open-book (and notes) portion. In the closed-book portion, you will write expository paragraphs on fundamental concepts. No closed-book question will require usage of a memorized formula. In the open-book portion, you will work problems similar to those assigned as homework and/or discussed in class.

Files you may wish to download:
A zipped collection of Minitab data files (*.mtw) for Mendenhall and
Sincich exercises 2-54, 8-40, 8-42, 9-38, 9-40, 9-42, 11-8, 11-10,
11-38, 12-2, 12-4, 12-6, 12-9, 12-10, 12-34, 12-38d, 12-44, and
13-26. download

A zipped Excel spreadsheet of exercises from chapters 3, 4, 5, 9,
and 10 (primarily 4, 5, and 10). download

An error in answer to exercise 8.64 detail.

__Homework assignments logbook__

Assigned 12 September and due 19 September: 1.6, 1.8 (categorize by
nominal, ordinal, interval, or ratio), 2.8, 2.28abc, 2.42, 3.6

Assigned 19 September and due 26 September: 3.12, 3.18, 3.28, 3.30,
3.36, 3.44, 3.50, 4.6

Assigned 26 September and due 10 October: 4.14, 4.18, 4.30, 4.32,
4.42, 4.52, 4.60, 4.70, 5.4, 5.10

Assigned 10 October and due 17 October: 5.18, 5.24d&f, 5.32, 5.38
(set 1 only)

Assigned 17 October and due 24 October: 5.44, 5.46, 5.58, 5.66, 6.6,
6.16b, 6.26, 6.34, 6.44, 7.6

Assigned 24 October and due 31 October: 7.20, 7.24, 7.32, 8.11, 8.10,
8.14bc, 8.28, 8.30, 8.32, 8.36

Assigned 31 October and due 7 November: 8.42, 8.48, 8.54, 8.60, 8.68,
8.72, 9.4bdfgh, 9.10, 9.12, 9.14.

Assigned 7 and 14 November and due 21 November: 9.16, 9.22+beta
calculation for mu=3.1, 9.28b, 9.30a, 9.36, 9.38 (unequal variances
assumed), 9.42, 9.48+*p*-value, 9.56+*p*-value,
9.60+*p*-value, 9.66+*p*-value, 10.4, 10.12+*p*-value,
10.22+*p*-value, 10.26a+*p*-value.

Assigned 21 November and due 28 November: 11.10, 11.18e, 11.30 (10
points), 11.35e, 11.38, 11.49.

Assigned 28 November and due 5 December: 12.4de, 12.8, 12.10, 12.16,
12.26, 12.38.

Assigned 5 December and due 19 December: 12.44, 13.4, 13.12, 13.22,
13.24.

__Computer software
availability__:

The
Science Building microcomputer laboratory (Computing Wing) has the newest
version
(v13.1) of MINITAB for Windows, plus Excel
(Microsoft Office spreadsheet) 97 SR-2. Manuals for each of these are
available there for in-room use.

__Availability of help__:

- Office hours in the Science Building Computing Wing microcomputer laboratory (Room 1140) 5-6pm Tuesdays.
- Campus Email address williame@umdsun2.umd.umich.edu
- Ford Email address ewillia4@ford.com

__Useful Web Sites__:

- The American Statistical Association maintains a site at Link to American Statistical Association.
- MINITAB maintains a site at Link to MINITAB.
- The University of Florida has a very large, useful Web page of statistical information here.
- Superb web site [copyright by] Clay Helberg.
- The Defense Acquisition University maintains interactive probability and statistics tutorials here.