Fall Semester 2001

I&MSE 510: Probability and Statistical Models

Objectives:

Materials:
Text:

Recommended accompanying study guides:

Textbooks may be purchased at the campus bookstore in the traditional way, reserved on-line for in-store pickup, or ordered on-line for delivery to an address you specify. More details at bookstore site.

Recommended references:

(the Devore text is urgently recommended)

Course Outline:

Topics and Text Chapters
Introduction1
Descriptive statistics2
Probabilistic concepts3
Discrete random variables4
Continuous random variables5
Bivariate probability distributions6
Sampling distributions7
Estimation of parameters8
Hypothesis testing9
Analysis of categorical data (chi-square)10
Regression:
one independent variable11
two or more independent variables12
introduction to model building13

Administration:

Statement from the Office of the Provost on academic ethics.

Specifically, the class runs under the honor code governing all College of Engineering classes. Each examination will have a closed-book portion followed by an open-book (and notes) portion. In the closed-book portion, you will write expository paragraphs on fundamental concepts. No closed-book question will require usage of a memorized formula. In the open-book portion, you will work problems similar to those assigned as homework and/or discussed in class.

Files you may wish to download: A zipped collection of Minitab data files (*.mtw) for Mendenhall and Sincich exercises 2-54, 8-40, 8-42, 9-38, 9-40, 9-42, 11-8, 11-10, 11-38, 12-2, 12-4, 12-6, 12-9, 12-10, 12-34, 12-38d, 12-44, and 13-26. download
A zipped Excel spreadsheet of exercises from chapters 3, 4, 5, 9, and 10 (primarily 4, 5, and 10). download

An error in answer to exercise 8.64 detail.

Homework assignments logbook
Assigned 12 September and due 19 September: 1.6, 1.8 (categorize by nominal, ordinal, interval, or ratio), 2.8, 2.28abc, 2.42, 3.6
Assigned 19 September and due 26 September: 3.12, 3.18, 3.28, 3.30, 3.36, 3.44, 3.50, 4.6
Assigned 26 September and due 10 October: 4.14, 4.18, 4.30, 4.32, 4.42, 4.52, 4.60, 4.70, 5.4, 5.10
Assigned 10 October and due 17 October: 5.18, 5.24d&f, 5.32, 5.38 (set 1 only)
Assigned 17 October and due 24 October: 5.44, 5.46, 5.58, 5.66, 6.6, 6.16b, 6.26, 6.34, 6.44, 7.6
Assigned 24 October and due 31 October: 7.20, 7.24, 7.32, 8.11, 8.10, 8.14bc, 8.28, 8.30, 8.32, 8.36
Assigned 31 October and due 7 November: 8.42, 8.48, 8.54, 8.60, 8.68, 8.72, 9.4bdfgh, 9.10, 9.12, 9.14.
Assigned 7 and 14 November and due 21 November: 9.16, 9.22+beta calculation for mu=3.1, 9.28b, 9.30a, 9.36, 9.38 (unequal variances assumed), 9.42, 9.48+p-value, 9.56+p-value, 9.60+p-value, 9.66+p-value, 10.4, 10.12+p-value, 10.22+p-value, 10.26a+p-value.
Assigned 21 November and due 28 November: 11.10, 11.18e, 11.30 (10 points), 11.35e, 11.38, 11.49.
Assigned 28 November and due 5 December: 12.4de, 12.8, 12.10, 12.16, 12.26, 12.38.
Assigned 5 December and due 19 December: 12.44, 13.4, 13.12, 13.22, 13.24.

Computer software availability:
The Science Building microcomputer laboratory (Computing Wing) has the newest version (v13.1) of MINITAB for Windows, plus Excel (Microsoft Office spreadsheet) 97 SR-2. Manuals for each of these are available there for in-room use.

Availability of help:

Useful Web Sites: